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2025 Thanksgiving Day NFL Betting Preview

Ravens eat the bird

As is tradition, this year’s slate of Thanksgiving Day football matchups does not disappoint, giving NFL football fans a total of three games to watch, bet on, and be thankful for while eating dinner with family and friends.

There are two college football games scheduled to air on Thanksgiving Day in 2024, and there are several matchups occurring the following Friday and Saturday of the holiday weekend.

As odds are updated, we’ll continue to add them to this page daily with the top Thanksgiving football picks.


NFL shield

NFL Matchups On Thanksgiving

The NFL is giving fans a three-course meal of pro football on Thanksgiving Day with three huge games scheduled to be played.

Each matchup could have major playoff implications as teams look to stay atop the division while others try to stay alive in the race for the wild card. Here are our NFL Thanksgiving Day previews:

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions

NFL Odds:
Over/Under: 48.5
Spread: Lions -10.5, Bears +10.5
Money Line: Lions -400, Bears +575
Favorite: Lions
Prediction: Lions Cover

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys

NFL Odds:
Over/Under: 38.5
Spread: Cowboys -4.0, Giants +4.0
Money Line: Cowboys -210, Giants +175
Favorite: Cowboys
Prediction: Cowboys Cover

Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers

NFL Odds:
Over/Under: 47.0
Spread: Dolphins +3.5, Packers -3.5
Money Line: Dolphins +150, Packers -175
Favorite: Packers
Prediction: Dolphins Cover


NCAAF football logo

NCAAF College Football Matchups On Thanksgiving

On the Friday following Thanksgiving, there are several college football games on the schedule, but things really heat on Saturday with a full slate of NCAAF rivalry matchups that have the potential to cause significant shifts in the CFP rankings and the futures odds to win the National Championship. 

The on NCAAF contest occurring on Thanksgiving Day in 2024 is the Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave at 7:30 PM. Tulane is favored by two touchdowns. We predict that Tulane will cover the spread against Memphis and win big.

Betting odds for the Egg Bowl and any other future NCAAF Thanksgiving Day games can be previewed here.

Thanksgiving NFL Betting Trends and Strategies

hand jive turkey

When NFL teams play on Thanksgiving, traditional betting strategies take a step back, and a different approach is needed if history is any indicator.

Teams who play on this holiday have the shortest turnaround of any point during the season. Each team must rest up from a Sunday game, prepare, and play again on Thursday during the day, excluding the night game.

Feast on these trends and strategies before placing your bet on any of the Turkey Day NFL matchups.

Be Thankful for Favorites

NFL favorites typically cover on Thanksgiving. Since the NFL adopted a third game on Turkey Day, the trend has continued as underdog winners are a rare Thanksgiving event.

Invite the Public to Dinner

A common betting strategy for NFL point spreads is to “fade the public.” Unfortunately, this strategy of wagering against who the majority of the public is betting on goes over worse than your Aunt’s “special” casserole.

Here is how Thanksgiving matchups go when the public has more than 50% of point spread tickets on one side.

  • More than 50%: 65% covered
  • More than 60%: 71% covered
  • More than 70%: 89% covered

Grab a Plate and Get in Line Early

In 2017, both the Vikings (+1.5) and the Chargers (+4) were underdogs in early lines given by some sportsbooks. By the time the game started, the Vikings (-2.0) became the favorite, and the Chargers (PK) turned into a pick game.

The lines moved 3.5 and 4.0 points, respectively, which means people who bet early got great value by simply serving themselves as the line came right out of the oven instead of waiting for scraps.

Sample the Side Dishes

These are some helpful tips to nibble on to get you started, but each is a small sample size equivalent to a side dish. You still need to take injuries, season and recent performance, etc., into account before betting.

Instead, simply apply these Thanksgiving trends to your own NFL betting model. Doing this will give you the full course meal ahead of Thursday’s slate of games, and we can all give thanks for a day of good food and NFL betting action.

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